Professor Who’s Called Every Presidential Race Since 1984 Makes His 2016 Prediction

Professor Who’s Called Every Presidential Race Since 1984 Makes His 2016 Prediction

September 24th, 2016
Controversy

The Chinese water-torture of bad news just keeps coming for Hillary Clinton. Another drop came down from a university professor with a 100% accuracy rate in the last 8 presidential elections.

Here’s the crystal ball story from Zero Hedge:

“American University professor, Allan Lichtman, has accurately predicted every U.S. presidential election since 1984 and now he’s calling 2016 for Trump. Lichtman uses a system he calls the ‘Keys to the White House’ which he developed after studying every election cycle from 1860 through 1980.

“Lichtman’s Keys are the following 13 following true/false questions, where an answer of ‘true’ always favors the re-election of the incumbent party, in this case, Hillary. If, however, the answer to six or more of the 13 keys is ‘false’ then the incumbent loses.

“Here is how Lichtman answered his ’13 Keys to the White House’:

“1. Party Mandate: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections.

“Lichtman Answer:  False – ‘They got crushed.’ 

“2. Contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination.

“Lichtman Answer: True

“3. Incumbency: The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president.

“Lichtman Answer: False

“4. Third party: There is no significant third party or independent campaign.

“Lichtman  Answer: False – ‘In his highest polling, Gary Johnson is at about 12 to 14 percent. My rule is that you cut it in half. That would mean he gets six to seven.’

“5. Short-term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign.

“Lichtman Answer: True

“6. Long-term economy: Real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.

“Lichtman Answer: True

“7. Policy Change: The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy.

“Lichtman Answer: False – ‘No major policy change in Obama’s second term like the Affordable Care Act.’

“8. Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term.

“Lichtman Answer: True

“9. Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.

“Lichtman Answer: True

“10. Foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.

“Lichtman Answer: True

“11. Foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.

“Lichtman Answer: False – ‘No major smashing foreign policy success.’ 

“12. Incumbent charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.

“Lichtman Answer: False – ‘Hillary Clinton is not a Franklin Roosevelt.’ 

13. Challenger charisma: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero.

“Lichtman Answer: True

While we think there should be more False answers on this quiz, remember that Lichtman is a Democrat. However, he grudgingly comes to the conclusion that savvy political analysts have come to: Donald Trump will win the 2016 presidential election.

There are still about six weeks between now and November, the momentum has definitely shifted in Trump’s direction and away from Hillary.

Do you agree with Professor Lichtman that The Donald will be our next president? And by what margin do you predict he’ll win by?

You know the drill – share your thoughts in the comments section below.